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August 2017 Economic Overview

August 2017 Economic Overview

The US economy entered the ninth consecutive year of expansion. GDP for the second quarter increased by 2.6% and there are no signs that this trend might change. Since mid-2009, GDP growth has averaged 2.1%, while earlier years averaged over 3.6%. The difference is that today’s economy is vastly larger than those of the 1980s and 1990s. [...]

March 2017 Economic Overview

March 2017 Economic Overview

The dollar is the world’s principal anchor currency, and the dollar standard is one of the most vulnerable pillars of global stability. It has grown more important as the world has globalized. After The fracturing of this system under inflationary pressures in the 1970-80s, the dollar became more central than ever. As markets opened to [...]

December 2016 Economic Overview

December 2016 Economic Overview

Go figure. President Trump! President elect Trump promises to reduce regulations, increase infrastructure spending, and cut taxes, which lead many to conclude that growth in inflation and interest rates will result. He has sworn to ‘Put America First. Demanding respect from a freeloading world that takes leaders from Washington for fools’. [...]

October 2015 Economic Overview

October 2015 Economic Overview

US Zone Pause, Think, Trump: Our Mighty Woman of the Torch’s tablet reads, “Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free…I light my lamp beside the open door.” Rather than limiting immigrants, we should be welcoming them, let them in and let them earn. Europe and North America are among the richest [...]

April 2015 Economic Overview

April 2015 Economic Overview

THE LAST few weeks have seen a flurry of good data about the America economy. Firms added more than 1m new jobs, in net terms, in the three months to January, the best showing since 1997. At 5.7%, America’s unemployment rate is now one of the lowest in the OECD, a club of mostly rich countries. GDP data, recently released, shows that the [...]

November 2014 Economic Overview

November 2014 Economic Overview

US zone Commerce Department revised second quarter economic growth to 4.6 percent increases confidence that the economy is coming out of its torpor. Unemployment claims filed were lower than expected, putting the indicator back on levels last seen before the Great Recession. Thus we hear of the Fed openly debating when the next rise in interest [...]

September 2013 Economic Overview

September 2013 Economic Overview

Frankly, we find this past week’s batch of economic data unsettling. The march of economic power from the developed to the emerging world seemed to take a step backwards. Asian manufacturing continued to slow, with a very slight expansion in China according to official data. In the US, GDP growth, manufacturing and jobless claims were stronger [...]

August 2013 Economic Overview

August 2013 Economic Overview

US manufacturing seems to be growing, but not particularly strongly, and that is the refrain throughout the nation. Durable goods rose more than forecast in June which should help manufacturing and the economy in general in the second half of the year. Bookings for goods meant to last at least three years increased 4.2 percent, led by [...]

July 2013 Economic Overview

July 2013 Economic Overview

Little change in slow growth both the data and the debates continue to point toward 2% GDP growth, 2% or less inflation, and near-zero overnight interest rates. The downturn in the Eurozone (Germany excepted) persists and is unlikely to end soon. Consumer confidence is at a five-year high. It has risen three straight months, reaching 81.4 in [...]

September 2012 Economic Overview

September 2012 Economic Overview

Sign of our times? Even by Las Vegas standards, it is a shocking billboard: A mannequin dangling on a hangman's noose below a black sign with the ominous words "Dying for Work. Hope you’re Happy Wall Street.” A publicity stunt, obviously, in bad taste. Without further action from the Fed, We will lose our grip on both -- growth and 8% [...]

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