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December 2013 Economic Overview

December 2013 Economic Overview

US Economy Americans' confidence in the economy is slowly increasing, and has significantly improved from the mid-October shutdown.  This suggests that record-high U.S. stock market prices and the Bureau of Labor Statistics report of better-than-expected job gains in October may have boosted Americans' confidence. Increasing [...]

September 2013 Economic Overview

September 2013 Economic Overview

Frankly, we find this past week’s batch of economic data unsettling. The march of economic power from the developed to the emerging world seemed to take a step backwards. Asian manufacturing continued to slow, with a very slight expansion in China according to official data. In the US, GDP growth, manufacturing and jobless claims were stronger [...]

August 2012 Economic Overview

August 2012 Economic Overview

US Economy The US economy is in a tender state. Being led by an inventive private sector, the economy is reinventing itself. Old weaknesses remedied and new ones discovered. News headlines give credence, however, to Nouriel Roubini’s perfect storm in 2013 scenario: stalling growth in the US, debt troubles in Europe, a slowdown in emerging [...]

November 2011 Economic Overview

November 2011 Economic Overview

In the US, orders for big ticket items fell in September and durable goods orders fell 0.8% the third decline in four months. While this year has been a difficult one for many sectors of the American economy, the housing sector—little by little, and bit by bit—has been firming up over the course of 2011. It is not dead as a stout, but [...]

September 2011 Economic Overview

September 2011 Economic Overview

After the absurd fiscal brinkmanship of the Congress in the debt ceiling debate, the economy will continue to be sluggish and fragile. The thoughtlessness of the debt debate resolved nothing. The 2008 recession was worse than estimated; the present recovery is weaker than hoped. The psyche of business and consumers is timorous. The fear is that [...]

July 2011 Economic Overview

July 2011 Economic Overview

For all the monetary and fiscal stimulus applied to the US economy, the recovery remains a disappointment. Growth may rebound to above 3% in the second half of the year. Inflation rose to 1.5% in May. The Fed may consider easing again. But the wealth is not trickling down. Small business account for 99% of all US companies and account for [...]

January 2011 Economic Overview

January 2011 Economic Overview

Can the Euro survive? A break up would be even worse. Germany is fed up with paying for other country’s mess, and talk of a ‘Strong Euro Area’ is becoming commonplace.  Say Germany, Austria, the Netherlands and France set up the ‘strongs’ to reconsider their place in the union, maybe even create a two-tiered Euro? And, say Spain, [...]

June 2010 Economic Overview

June 2010 Economic Overview

There are glimmerings of hope, but the economy remains Janus Faced: for every good, there is a bad. Housing prices have stopped going down and new home sales are beginning to show signs of life. But much of the positive is accounted for by the need of home buyers to get in before the incentive programs end shortly. Factory orders rose briskly, [...]