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Posts Tagged ‘recovery’

August 2014 Economic Overview

August 2014 Economic Overview

Our New Economy of the 1990’s is no more. A variety of U.S. inflation indicators have moved up sharply since early in the year, including the producer price index. The index, which measures wholesale costs, has climbed 2% in the past 12 months as of May. That’s up from just 0.9% in February. A recent article in the Economist discussed some [...]

August 2011 Economic Overview

August 2011 Economic Overview

US companies are reluctant to hire because of weak consumer demand. America's economic recovery in the first half of this year was much weaker than assumed. Official data showed GDP rising by just 1.3% at an annual rate in the second quarter and by a revised 0.4% in the first three months. Even with Congress lifting the debt ceiling, [...]

July 2011 Economic Overview

July 2011 Economic Overview

For all the monetary and fiscal stimulus applied to the US economy, the recovery remains a disappointment. Growth may rebound to above 3% in the second half of the year. Inflation rose to 1.5% in May. The Fed may consider easing again. But the wealth is not trickling down. Small business account for 99% of all US companies and account for [...]

February 2011 Economic Overview

February 2011 Economic Overview

The American economic Recovery is subdued by historical standards. Banks and households are working off excessive debt. Real bipartisan budgeting must involve increases in taxes and cuts in entitlements. American companies make a third of their profits outside of the country. The underlying American economy is stronger than pessimists [...]

August 2010 Economic Overview

August 2010 Economic Overview

The outlook for the world economy is unusually uncertain. The US Financial Reform Bill was the mouse that roared. It restrains banks’ proprietary trading but does not stop it; banks can still invest in hedge funds and in Private Equity firms; as for the new consumer protection agency, we will have to see if it actually works. Enforcement is the [...]

July 2010 Economic Overview

July 2010 Economic Overview

World economic healing continues as a work in progress. The US economic stimulus plan is working, slowly. Job creation continues weak, only net 40,000 jobs were created last month and the jobless rate continues at 9.7%. There are huge debts internationally producing a drag on the recovery. Many feel more stimulus is needed. The Financial [...]

May 2010 Economic Overview

May 2010 Economic Overview

Economic unintended consequences pervade the US. Is the party over? For the last 40 years, the US consumer has served as the engine to lead the US economy out of miasma. Is Unbridled economic growth undermining the Protestant ethic of self-denial? Conspicuous consumption has fallen into social disrepute. Real Thrift is Back! Thrift is becoming the [...]

December 31st 2009 Economic Overview

December 31st 2009 Economic Overview

The calamitous economic decline experienced worldwide, over the past two years would normally be followed by a robust recovery. Not so, this time around. We are in a dull heavy calm ...and this is best we can hope for. In 2010 the US economy will struggle to show 2-3% real GDP growth. Interest rates will remain low but unemployment will [...]

November 2009 Economic Overview

November 2009 Economic Overview

Consumers are snatching at any evidence indicating that this recession is ended. Reported 3rd Q GNP was up, subject to subsequent adjustment. Durable goods orders for the month were up. Home sales were positive for the first time in over 18 months two month ago, thought they were down once again in the last month. Anything indicating that the [...]