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Posts Tagged ‘Russia’

December 2016 Economic Overview

December 2016 Economic Overview

Go figure. President Trump! President elect Trump promises to reduce regulations, increase infrastructure spending, and cut taxes, which lead many to conclude that growth in inflation and interest rates will result. He has sworn to ‘Put America First. Demanding respect from a freeloading world that takes leaders from Washington for fools’. [...]

April 2015 Economic Overview

April 2015 Economic Overview

THE LAST few weeks have seen a flurry of good data about the America economy. Firms added more than 1m new jobs, in net terms, in the three months to January, the best showing since 1997. At 5.7%, America’s unemployment rate is now one of the lowest in the OECD, a club of mostly rich countries. GDP data, recently released, shows that the [...]

January 2015 Economic Overview

January 2015 Economic Overview

The U.S. economy, having found its footing in 2014, will gain momentum in 2015, even as Europe struggles to stay out of recession, Japan remains sluggish and growth in emerging economies slows. The US economy grew at 5% annual rate in July-September, the best annual growth rate since 2003, and up from expected growth of 2.2% in 2014. Worldwide, [...]

October 2013 Economic Overview

October 2013 Economic Overview

The US economy is progressing nicely, except that politicians ignore the catastrophe a government shutdown will bring. You cannot have the world’s reserve currency held to ransom on ideological grounds without creating uncertainty in the minds of the rest of the world. The whole system will be disrupted. Gross domestic product rose 2.5 percent [...]

April 2013 Economic Overview

April 2013 Economic Overview

Following the recent spate of upbeat data, today’s consensus outlook (which I largely share) is that this year the economy may again grow about 2% and then speed up modestly in 2014.  Unemployment is expected to remain high and total business profits to slide a bit.  Federal Reserve forecasts, which have been chronically over-optimistic, do [...]

May 2012 Economic Overview

May 2012 Economic Overview

The global economies are slowly improving. World GDP is set to rise 3.5% this year and just over 4% for 2013. There are still risks ahead: the euro crisis, fiscal austerity in the rich world, and upheaval in the Middle East and a hard landing in India and China, to name the obvious. Growth will certainly be hurt by deleveraging at the European [...]