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March 2015 Economic Overview

March 2015 Economic Overview

US Zone US economy is bubbling nicely, a weaker world economy seems to help. Consumer confidence is improving, retail sales are positive, but the housing market rebound has stalled. Annualized economic growth is about 4%. But the overall outlook is tranquil, complacently so. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen testified before congress that she would [...]

July 2013 Economic Overview

July 2013 Economic Overview

Little change in slow growth both the data and the debates continue to point toward 2% GDP growth, 2% or less inflation, and near-zero overnight interest rates. The downturn in the Eurozone (Germany excepted) persists and is unlikely to end soon. Consumer confidence is at a five-year high. It has risen three straight months, reaching 81.4 in [...]

December 2011 Economic Overview

December 2011 Economic Overview

US The odds for a pleasant end to the situation continue to grow long. Policymakers elsewhere are making ready for the autumn. Federal Reserve is preparing to conduct a new round of stress tests on American banks with a euro-area collapse in mind. Treasury officials are looking at big American banks and urging them to cut back their exposure to [...]

October 2011 Economic Overview

October 2011 Economic Overview

TWO messages emerged from the weekend's IMF meetings: striking and deeply disconcerting. The high level of fear and anxiety among the participants and Euro-zone governments are still struggling to put in place an agreement reached in July. Europe is sliding toward recession. America is uncomfortably close behind. A renewed downturn across major [...]

July 2011 Economic Overview

July 2011 Economic Overview

For all the monetary and fiscal stimulus applied to the US economy, the recovery remains a disappointment. Growth may rebound to above 3% in the second half of the year. Inflation rose to 1.5% in May. The Fed may consider easing again. But the wealth is not trickling down. Small business account for 99% of all US companies and account for [...]

June 2011 Economic Overview

June 2011 Economic Overview

US Economy- Sluggish, Sluggish, Sluggish Next month marks two years since the end of the Great Recession, the worst economic downturn in 75 years. Americans are dubious that the economy is performing well. Big businesses, big banks, wealthy households have done better than small business, small banks, and you and me. It still feels like a [...]

March 2011 Economic Overview

March 2011 Economic Overview

President Obama’s State of the Union was long on promises but short on definite plans for curing unemployment, putting the budget back into shape, or for dealing with the problem caused by entitlements. US Factory activity expanded in January at the fastest pace in nearly seven years, as manufacturers reported a sharp jump in new orders. The [...]